Thomson Reuters Predicts 2013 Nobel Laureates

Higgs Boson is forecast for Science honors; Economics nominees include theorists of economic regulation

Philadelphia, PA – The IP & Science business of Thomson Reuters, the world leader in intelligent information for businesses and professionals, announced its 2013 “Nobel-class” Citation Laureates today. Having accurately forecast 27 Nobel Prize winners since its inception in 2002, the annual Thomson Reuters Citation Laureates study mines scientific research citations to identify the most influential researchers in the fields of chemistry, physics, medicine and economics.

This year, noteworthy nominees on the Thomson Reuters list include François Englert and Peter W. Higgs for their prediction of the Brout-Englert-Higgs boson particle in the field of physics; and, in the field of economics, Sam Peltzman and Richard A. Posner for their work extending economic theories of regulation.  Nominees in the field of medicine include Adrian P. Bird, Howard Cedar and Aharon Razin for their fundamental discoveries concerning DNA methylation and gene expression. Chemistry nominees include M.G. Finn, Valery V. Fokin and K. Barry Sharpless for their development of modular click chemistry. If selected, this would be Sharpless’s second Nobel Prize (he won in 2001 for his work on chirally catalyzed oxidation reactions).

The complete list of Nobel predictions includes 28 researchers representing 22 distinct academic and research organizations, and six different countries.

“Scientific research citations function as a repayment of an intellectual debt,” said Gordon Macomber, managing director, Thomson Reuters Scholarly & Scientific Research. “By analyzing these citations in aggregate over many years, we are able to identify individual researchers and institutions that have the greatest impact on their fields of study and, as a result, are most likely to capture the attention of the Nobel jury.”

The annual Thomson Reuters Citation Laureates study is based on analysis of proprietary data from the research and citation database, Web of Science™, which identifies the most influential researchers in the categories of chemistry, physics, physiology or medicine, and economics. Based on a thorough review of citations to each person’s research, the company names these high-impact researchers as Thomson Reuters Citation Laureates and predicts they will be Nobel Prize winners, either this year or in the future.

For detailed information about the Citation Laureates and their fields of research, and to view previously named Citation Laureates whom Thomson Reuters considers continuing contenders for a Nobel Prize, visit Thomson Reuters ScienceWatch, an open-Web resource for science metrics and research performance analysis. Thomson Reuters works with academic institutions and funding bodies globally using its unique data and the methodology underlying the Citation Laureates program to identify top and emerging talent across disciplines. Read more information about the insights that can be gleaned from bibliometric data.

Follow @TR_ScienceWatch on Twitter for up-to-the-minute news on the predictions and deeper insight into their fields of research. Facebook users are encouraged to submit their own predictions for the 2013 Nobel Prize winners and take part in Nobel discussions on the Web of Knowledge Facebook page.

The 2013 Thomson Reuters Citation Laureates by Nobel Prize category are:


A. Paul Alivisatos
Samsung Distinguished Professor of Nanoscience and Nanotechnology, and Professor of Chemistry and Materials Science and Engineering, and Director of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
University of California, Berkeley
Berkeley, CA, USA


Chad A. Mirkin
George B. Rathmann Professor of Chemistry
Northwestern University
Evanston, IL, USA


Nadrian C. Seeman
Margaret and Herman Sokol Professor of Chemistry
New York University
New York, NY, USA
For contributions to DNA nanotechnology

Bruce N. Ames
Senior Scientist and Professor Emeritus, Biochemistry and Molecular Biology
Children’s Hospital Oakland Research Institute, Oakland, CA and University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
For the invention of the Ames test of mutagenicity

M.G. Finn
Professor of Chemistry and Biochemistry
Georgia Institute of Technology
Atlanta, GA, USA

Valery V. Fokin
Associate Professor of Chemistry
The Scripps Research Institute
La Jolla, CA, USA


K. Barry Sharpless
W.M. Keck Professor of Chemistry
The Scripps Research Institute
La Jolla, CA, USA
For the development of modular click chemistry

François Englert
Professor Emeritus and Distinguished Visiting Professor in Residence, Chapman Institute for Quantum Studies
Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium and Chapman University, Orange, CA, USA

Peter W. Higgs
Professor Emeritus
University of Edinburgh
Edinburgh, Scotland, UK

For their prediction of the Brout-Englert-Higgs boson

Hideo Hosono
Professor, Materials and Structures Laboratory and Director of
Materials Research Center for Element Strategy
Tokyo Institute of Technology
Yokohama, Japan
For his discovery of iron-based superconductors

Geoffrey W. Marcy
Professor of Astronomy
University of California, Berkeley
Berkeley, CA, USA


Michel Mayor
Emeritus Professor
University of Geneva
Geneva, Switzerland


Didier Queloz
University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK and University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
For their discoveries of extrasolar planets


Adrian P. Bird
Buchanan Professor of Genetics
University of Edinburgh
Edinburgh, Scotland, UK


Howard Cedar
Edmond J. Safra Distinguished Professor Emeritus
Hebrew University of Jerusalem
Jerusalem, Israel


Aharon Razin
Professor of Biochemistry Emeritus
Hebrew University of Jerusalem
Jerusalem, Israel
For their fundamental discoveries concerning DNA methylation and gene expression

Daniel J. Klionsky
Alexander G. Ruthven Professor of Life Sciences
University of Michigan
Ann Arbor, MI, USA


Noboru Mizushima
Professor, Biochemistry and Molecular Biology
Graduate School and Faculty of Medicine
University of Tokyo
Tokyo Japan


Yoshinori Ohsumi
Professor, Frontier Research Center
Tokyo Institute of Technology
Yokohama, Japan
For elucidating the molecular mechanisms and physiological function of autophagy

Dennis J. Slamon
Professor, Chief, and Executive Vice Chair for Research
Department of Medicine, Hematology/Oncology and Director of Revlon/UCLA Women’s Cancer Research Program
University of California Los Angeles
Los Angeles, CA, USA
For his pioneering research identifying the HER-2/neu oncogene, leading to more effective cancer therapy

Joshua D. Angrist
Ford Professor of Economics
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge, MA, USA


David E. Card
Class of 1950 Professor of Economics
University of California, Berkeley
Berkeley, CA, USA


Alan B. Krueger
Bendheim Professor of Economics
Princeton University
Princeton, NJ, USA
For their advancement of empirical microeconomics

Sir David F. Hendry
Professor of Economics
University of Oxford
Oxford, England, UK


M. Hashem Pesaran
John Elliot Distinguished Chair in Economics & Professor of Economics, and Emeritus Professor of Economics & Fellow of Trinity College, Cambridge
University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA and University of Cambridge, Cambridge, England, UK


Peter C.B. Phillips
Sterling Professor of Economics and Professor of Statistics
Yale University
New Haven, CT, USA
For their contributions to economic time-series, including modeling, testing and forecasting

Sam Peltzman
Ralph and Dorothy Keller Distinguished Service Professor of Economics Emeritus
University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Chicago, IL, USA


Richard A. Posner
Judge, United States Seventh Circuit Court of Appeals, and Senior Lecturer
University of Chicago Law School
Chicago, IL, USA
For extending economic theories of regulation

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